Alternatives Futures for Russia to 2017

Description

Over the past decade, Russia has undergone extraordinary changes and views in the West have never been so polarized as today. In order to put together a mosaic of possible Russian futures, in the spring of 2007 Dr. Andrew Kuchins organized a working group of leading experts with diverse perspectives and expertise and their contributions helped to inform this report. Alternatives Futures for Russia to 2017 examines drivers for the future, potential scenarios, and key signposts for scenario trends.

Russia today is a hybrid regime that might best be termed "illiberal internationalism." From being a weakly institutionalized, fragile, and in many ways distorted proto-democracy in the 1990s, Russia under Vladimir Putin has moved back in the direction of a highly centralized authoritarianism, which has characterized the state for most of its 1,000-year history. But it is an authoritarian state where the consent of the governed is essential.




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